Beyond building structure. Estimating the material stock of mechanical, electrical and plumbing systems

Abstract

Current national-scale building stock models mainly focus on structural materials, overlooking the significant resource potential of Mechanical, Electrical, and Plumbing (MEP) systems. These systems are resource-intensive and contain standardized components with high-value materials such as copper and steel, yet their potential remains largely untapped due to fragmented data. This study introduces the novel systematic framework to estimate MEP components at high granularity and national scale. It integrates harmonized public data, machine-learning imputation (>90% accuracy under sparse conditions), and parametric rules reflecting building type, energy system, and construction decade. A Swiss case study yields scalable material stock estimates and lifespan-based turnover projections, showing strong consistency with existing GHG benchmarks. The framework highlights contrasting patterns across regions and building types, indicating where policy and industry can upscale reuse and recovery. Its modular design enables transferability and integration with circular economy planning and material-efficiency targets.