Intraday dynamics of credit risk contagion before and during the euro area sovereign debt crisis: Evidence from central Europe
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Autor:innen
Urban, Jörg
Autor:in (Körperschaft)
Publikationsdatum
2018
Typ der Arbeit
Studiengang
Sammlung
Typ
01A - Beitrag in wissenschaftlicher Zeitschrift
Herausgeber:innen
Herausgeber:in (Körperschaft)
Betreuer:in
Übergeordnetes Werk
International Review of Economics & Finance
Themenheft
DOI der Originalpublikation
Link
Reihe / Serie
Reihennummer
Jahrgang / Band
54
Ausgabe / Nummer
Seiten / Dauer
123-142
Patentnummer
Verlag / Herausgebende Institution
Elsevier
Verlagsort / Veranstaltungsort
Amsterdam
Auflage
Version
Programmiersprache
Abtretungsempfänger:in
Praxispartner:in/Auftraggeber:in
Zusammenfassung
With the onset of the euro area sovereign debt crisis, the CDS spreads of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia (the Visegrad group) increased even though the Visegrad group maintained solid public finances and ratings on average. Real economic linkages such as trade between the Visegrad group as important trading partner to the GIIPS countries might have led to this increase in sovereign credit risk due to contagion during the sovereign debt crisis period. We aim to analyse whether contagion led to higher sovereign risk in the Visegrad group and furthermore, whether the economic adjustment programmes (EAPs) by the Troika have been able to stabilise and reduce sovereign risk. We analyse 30-min intraday credit default swaps (CDS) data prior to the sovereign debt crisis period (2008–Oct. 2009) and during the sovereign debt crisis period (Oct. 2009–2011). By using a panel VAR methodology we find rather comovement effects in the Visegrad group member countries as they have been only marginally affected by the turmoil in the peripheral countries during the sovereign debt crisis. In contrast, we find strong contagion effects amongst the GIIPS countries in our sample. From an event study, we find that the EAPs have been essential for the GIIPS countries in terms of reducing contagion and sovereign risk across the euro area while the Visegrad group only reacted with a moderate reduction.
Schlagwörter
Fachgebiet (DDC)
330 - Wirtschaft
Veranstaltung
Startdatum der Ausstellung
Enddatum der Ausstellung
Startdatum der Konferenz
Enddatum der Konferenz
Datum der letzten Prüfung
ISBN
ISSN
1059-0560
Sprache
Englisch
Während FHNW Zugehörigkeit erstellt
Ja
Zukunftsfelder FHNW
Publikationsstatus
Veröffentlicht
Begutachtung
Peer-Review der ganzen Publikation
Open Access-Status
Closed
Lizenz
Zitation
TERS, Kristyna und Jörg URBAN, 2018. Intraday dynamics of credit risk contagion before and during the euro area sovereign debt crisis: Evidence from central Europe. International Review of Economics & Finance. 2018. Bd. 54, S. 123–142. DOI 10.1016/J.IREF.2017.08.002. Verfügbar unter: https://irf.fhnw.ch/handle/11654/42285