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Publikation Intraday dynamics of euro area sovereign credit risk contagion(Bank for International Settlements, 07/2016) Ters, Kristyna; Komarek, Lubos; Urban, JörgWe examine the role of the CDS and bond markets during and before the recent euro area sovereign debt crisis as transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as well as Germany, France and central European countries. Our findings suggest that, prior to the crisis, the CDS and bond markets were similarly important in the transmission of sovereign risk contagion, but that the importance of the bond market waned during the crisis. We find flight-to-safety effects during the crisis in the German bond market that are not present in the pre-crisis sample. Our estimated sovereign risk contagion was greater during the crisis, with an average timeline of one to two hours in GIIPS countries. By using an exogenous macroeconomic news shock, we can show that, during the crisis period, increased credit risk was not related to economic fundamentals. Further, we find that central European countries were not affected by sovereign credit risk contagion, independent of their debt level and currency.01B - Beitrag in Magazin oder ZeitungPublikation Intraday Dynamics of Euro Area Sovereign Credit Risk Contagion(06/2016) Ters, Kristyna; Komarek, Lubos; Urban, JörgWe examine the role of the CDS and bond markets during and before the recent euro area sovereign debt crisis as transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as well as Germany, France and central European countries. Our findings suggest that, prior to the crisis, the CDS and bond markets were similarly important in the transmission of sovereign risk contagion, but that the importance of the bond market waned during the crisis. We find flight-to-safety effects during the crisis in the German bond market that are not present in the pre-crisis sample. Our estimated sovereign risk contagion was greater during the crisis, with an average timeline of one to two hours in GIIPS countries. By using an exogenous macroeconomic news shock, we can show that, during the crisis period, increased credit risk was not related to economic fundamentals. Further, we find that central European countries were not affected by sovereign credit risk contagion, independent of their debt level and currency.01A - Beitrag in wissenschaftlicher ZeitschriftPublikation The growth imperative revisited: a rejoinder to Gilányi and Johnson(Taylor & Francis, 2015) Binswanger, MathiasIn Binswanger (2009) it was shown that in a simple circular flow model of a pure credit economy, positive growth rates are necessary in the long run in order to enable firms to make profits in the aggregate. If the growth rate falls below a certain positive threshold level, firms will make losses. Certain aspects of this model are challenged by the papers of Zsolt Gilányi and Reeves Johnson in this issue of the Journal But nevertheless, both papers confirm the existence of a growth imperative in capitalist economies. This may be taken as evidence that the finding of a growth imperative is quite robust with respect to different model assumptions.01A - Beitrag in wissenschaftlicher Zeitschrift