Predictive modelling for hospital readmission risk in the Philippines

Abstract

Predictive models have been developed over the years to identify patients at risk of readmission. The goal of this study is to identify the risk factors associated to a patient’s readmission within one year in the cohort study including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), Heart Failure (HF), Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and Pneumonia (PN) in a reputed Philippine hospital. Four predictive models were used and evaluated using performance metrics. The study found Logistic Regression as the most performing model in most of the cohort studies. There are 6 to 8 variables significantly associated with the readmission of high-risk patients.