Consideration of uncertainties in business valuations
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Autor:innen
Autor:in (Körperschaft)
Publikationsdatum
2024
Typ der Arbeit
Studiengang
Sammlung
Typ
04A - Beitrag Sammelband
Herausgeber:innen
Herausgeber:in (Körperschaft)
Betreuer:in
Übergeordnetes Werk
Finance in crises. Financial management under uncertainty
Themenheft
DOI der Originalpublikation
Link
Reihe / Serie
Reihennummer
Jahrgang / Band
Ausgabe / Nummer
Seiten / Dauer
9-22
Patentnummer
Verlag / Herausgebende Institution
Springer
Verlagsort / Veranstaltungsort
Cham
Auflage
Version
Programmiersprache
Abtretungsempfänger:in
Praxispartner:in/Auftraggeber:in
Zusammenfassung
Valuation seems to be impossible since the future is uncertain. Nevertheless, company values are necessary for many reasons, so the question arises as to how valuations can take these uncertainties into account.
Traditionally, the past is used as a basis for planning, i.e., it is more or less simply extrapolated. Given current experiences (Corona pandemic, Ukraine war, inflation, and energy crisis, to name but a few), the hope remains that these will not be perpetuated. On the other hand, however, we must also expect new and as yet unknown developments, or developments that are not considered likely or unlikely.
To produce reliable valuations as a basis for economic decisions even in times of increased uncertainty, selecting suitable procedures and the appropriate handling of risks is important.
Basically—and recurring to the mathematical model of discounting future cash flow—uncertainties or risks can be taken into account above the line (in the numerator or the cash flows) or below the line (in the denominator or the cost of capital). Double counting must be avoided, meaning that the denominator matches the numerator (equivalence principle) and that the cost of capital adequately reflects the fluctuations in cash flows.
Up to now, most valuations reflect only one path, the future developments may take. In this paper, we want to demonstrate how the traditional valuation approach can be extended by sensitivity analyses, scenario calculations, and simulations to move from pure point estimates to reliable value ranges that may reflect reality more accurately.
Schlagwörter
Fachgebiet (DDC)
Veranstaltung
Startdatum der Ausstellung
Enddatum der Ausstellung
Startdatum der Konferenz
Enddatum der Konferenz
Datum der letzten Prüfung
ISBN
978-3-031-48070-6
978-3-031-48071-3
978-3-031-48071-3
ISSN
Sprache
Englisch
Während FHNW Zugehörigkeit erstellt
Ja
Zukunftsfelder FHNW
Publikationsstatus
Veröffentlicht
Begutachtung
Fachlektorat/Editorial Review
Open Access-Status
Closed
Lizenz
Zitation
Hüttche, T., & Schmid, F. (2024). Consideration of uncertainties in business valuations. In T. Hüttche (Ed.), Finance in crises. Financial management under uncertainty (pp. 9–22). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48071-3_2